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2024-12-14 01:16:07

Broadcom US stocks rose 3.6% before the market, while Apple US stocks rose 0.3% before the market. In the news, Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips.Analysts commented on the US CPI in November: the data is in line with expectations, and there may be four interest rate cuts next year. Brian Jacobsen, chief economist of Annex Wealth Management, said: "There is nothing unexpected in the CPI report, and everything is in line with expectations. Housing cost is still the main driver of inflation. With the employment report and inflation report, nothing can stop the Fed from cutting interest rates by 25 basis points next week. What will be exciting is the summary of the Fed's economic forecast. There may be four interest rate cuts in 2025, and inflation will eventually fall to the target level. "Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.


US official: Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile into Ukraine in the next few days. It is expected that Russia's Oreshnik missile is not a game changer on the battlefield, but an attempt to intimidate Ukraine.After this year's acquisition frenzy, BlackRock may seek to further expand in the private equity market. The momentum of BlackRock, the world's largest asset management company, may continue, because it is expected that the company will seek further expansion in the fields of private credit, real estate, infrastructure or private equity. BlackRock announced last week that it plans to acquire private credit company HPS Investment Partners for about $12 billion, which is BlackRock's third major acquisition this year. Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, said that the transaction will enable the two companies to provide the integration of private equity and open market investment products. Financial sources and analysts said that in the future, BlackRock may enhance its influence in the private equity market through further acquisitions. Goals may include expanding private credit or increasing private equity, so that BlackRock can better compete with large enterprises in alternative investment fields.Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of the Czech Central Bank: I hope to see the inflation rate drop in January, and then I can start to consider further relaxing interest rates.


After the US CPI was released, spot gold rose by $5 to $2,696.66 per ounce.OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.

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